Friday, October 16, 2009

NLCS game 1 - plunkless

Historically, batters have been hit 51.2% more often in NLCS game 1 in odd numbered years than in even numbered years, so that should have made this a good year for NLCS game one plunks. But there weren't any. Nobody got hit in this years NLCS game 1... so MAYBE the plunk rates in odd years versus even years isn't that relevent. On the other hand, NLCS game 1s played in years evenly divisible by 3 have HBP per plate appearance rates 23.2% higher than years no divisible by 3, so that makes sense since 2009 is not divisible by 3. And yet, 2009 is evenly divisible by 7, and plunk rates in NLCS game 1 in years evenly divisible by 7 are 107.8% higher than in NLCS game 1s in other years, which makes this year's lack of plunks a mystery once again. This is the first year in which an NLCS has been played that's also divisible by 7 in which a batter wasn't plunked in NLCS game 1. So that's weird.

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