Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Endangered Records

It's the All-Star break, so that's always a good time to take a look at how the season is going with respect to available HBP records that players might be interested in breaking. We've already seen Chase Utley break the Phillies career record for getting plunked, and Dave Bush tied the Brewers career record for hitting batters. Jake Peavy of the Padres and John Lackey of the Angels are both 1 plunk away from tying the career records for their teams. But there are also a couple of opportunities for players to break their teams' single season record.

Kelly Shoppach is has the best shot at breaking a record - he's been hit 14 times already, and the Indians record is just 20, set in 2007 by Ryan Garko. If he keeps up his pace of HBPs per Indians game, he'll finish the year with somewhere around 26. Another surprising contender for a season record is Fernando Tatis for the Mets. He's been hit 8 times so far, but the Mets have the lowest single season record in baseball, so his projected total of 15 plunks would do it. Ron Hunt got hit 13 times for the 1963 Mets and John Olerud tied that total in 1997, but Met has ever taken more than 13 plunks for his team in a single season. Also in the "low hanging fruit" division, is the Tampa Bay Rays single season record. Jonny Gomes holds that with 14 in 2005, but Carlos Pena is on pace to come close to that. He's got 7 already, and while a linear projection leaves him 1 HBP short of a tie, plunks don't really behave linearly most of the time. Chase Utley could also break his year old Phillies single season plunk record if he picks up his pace just a little bit, and both Kevin Kouzmanoff and David Eckstein could threaten the Padres record, set last year by Kouzmanoff. On the other end of the list Ron Hunt (Nationals/Expos), Steve Evans (Cards), David Eckstein (Angels), Jason Kendall (Pirates), Don Baylor (Red Sox), Craig Biggio (Astros), and Tommy Tucker (Braves) can all rest assured that no one is touching their records this season. Of course Evans and Tucker are dead, but the rest of them can be reassured.

TeamRecord2009 Leader(s)Projected Total
IndiansRyan Garko (2007) - 20Kelly Shoppach - 1426
MetsRon Hunt (1963)
John Olerud (1997) - 13
Fernando Tatis - 815
RaysJonny Gomes (2005) - 14Carlos Pena - 713
PhilliesChase Utley (2008) - 27Chase Utley - 1325
PadresKevin Kouzmanoff (2008) - 15David Eckstein,
Kevin Kouzmanoff - 7
13
MarlinsCarlos Delgado (2005) - 17Cody Ross - 611
TigersBill Freehan (1968) - 24Brandon Inge - 917
A'sDon Baylor (1976),
Jason Kendall (2005)- 20
Jason Giambi - 713
White SoxMinnie Minoso (1956) - 23Carlos Quentin - 815
RangersAlex Rodriguez (2001) - 16Marlon Byrd - 48
DodgersHughie Jennings (1900) - 20Andre Ethier,
Juan Pierre - 6
11
RockiesEric Young (1996) - 21Chris Iannetta - 611
RoyalsDavid DeJesus (2007) - 23Jose Guillen - 713
BrewersFernando Vina (1998) - 25Ryan Braun - 815
MarinersJose Guillen (2007) - 19Russell Branyan - 59
DiamondbacksAndy Fox (1998) - 18Augie Ojeda - 47
YankeesDon Baylor (1985) - 24Mark Teixeira - 713
CubsBill Dahlen (1898) - 23Milton Bradley - 510
GiantsRon Hunt (1970) - 26Aaron Rowand - 713
Blue JaysShea Hillenbrand (2005) - 22Alex Rios - 59
OriolesBrady Anderson (1999) - 24Adam Jones - 59
RedsJason LaRue (2004) - 24Adam Rosales - 59
TwinsKid Elberfeld (1911) - 25Denard Span - 59
BravesTommy Tucker (1891) - 29Yunel Escobar - 611
AstrosCraig Biggio (1997) - 34Miguel Tejada - 815
Red SoxDon Baylor (1986) - 35Kevin Youkilis - 815
PiratesJason Kendall (1997, 1998) - 31Andy LaRoche - 611
AngelsDavid Eckstein (2002) - 27Torii Hunter,
Jeff Mathis,
Maicer Izturis,
Erick Aybar,
Howie Kendrick,
Mike Napoli - 3
6
CardinalsSteve Evans (1910) - 31Albert Pujols,
Joe Thurston,
Ryan Ludwick,
Khalil Greene,
Rick Ankiel,
Colby Rasmus - 3
5
NationalsRon Hunt (1971) - 50Josh Willingham - 816


On the pitching side of things, the closest player to a record breaking pace for plunks in a single season is Dave Bush of the Brewers. He needs to hit 10 more batters to tie Jamey Wright's single season Brewers record, but he's currently on the Disabled List. Tim Wakefield has an outside shot at reaching the 20 plunk mark if he picks up his pace, which could tie him with Bronson Arroyo and Howard Emke. But, no Major League pitcher has hit 20 batters since Arroyo's 2004 spree. The Royals have a pretty fragile looking record at just 13, but Jamey Wright leads the team with 5 this year. Perhaps if he gets promoted to the starting rotation for some reason, he might be able to get enough innings of work to find 9 more batters who don't want to get out of the way of his pitches. Beyond that, there's little hope of any of this years pitchers breaking a single season record. And, that total of 41 by Joe McGinnity for the Dodgers is probably impossible the way the game is currently played - it's be tough not to set an ejections record in the process if someone tried.

TeamRecord2009 Leader(s)Projected Total
BrewersJamey Wright (2001) - 20David Bush - 1019
Red SoxHoward Ehmke (1923),
Bronson Arroyo (2004) - 20
Tim Wakefield - 917
RoyalsMike Boddicker (1991),
Jim Colborn (1977),
Zack Greinke (2005),
Pedro Astacio (1998) - 13
Jamey Wright - 59
RockiesPedro Astacio (1998) - 17Ubaldo Jimenez - 611
RangersCharlie Hough (1987) - 19Kevin Millwood,
Vicente Padilla - 7
13
NationalsRamon Ortiz (2006) - 18John Lannan - 612
PadresMatt Clement (2000) - 16Chad Gaudin - 59
White SoxClark Griffith (1902),
Jim Scott (1909) - 16
John Danks - 47
AstrosJack Billingham (1971),
Darryl Kile (1996) - 16
Roy Oswalt,
Russ Ortiz - 4
7
MetsPedro Astacio (2002) - 16Sean Green - 47
YankeesJack Warhop (1909) - 26Joba Chamberlain - 917
MarinersRandy Johnson (1992) - 18Felix Hernandez - 59
AngelsTom Murphy (1969) - 21John Lackey - 611
CubsNixey Callahan (1899) - 24Carlos Marmol - 714
DiamondbacksRandy Johnson (2001) - 18Max Scherzer - 47
OriolesBarney Pelty (1904) - 20Jeremy Guthrie - 59
TwinsWalter Johnson (1923),
Bill Carrick (1901),
Case Patten (1904) - 20
Francisco Liriano,
Kevin Slowey - 5
9
RaysVictor Zambrano (2003) - 20Jeff Niemann,
Matt Garza - 5
9
Blue JaysChris Carpenter (2001) - 16Brian Tallet,
Brandon League,
Jesse Carlson,
Brett Cecil,
Ricky Romero - 3
5
PiratesPink Hawley (1897) - 27Ross Ohlendorf - 713
MarlinsDontrelle Willis (2006) - 19Hayden Penn,
Josh Johnson,
Brian Sanches,
Chris Volstad,
Sean West - 2
4
PhilliesJack Taylor (1897) - 28Chad Durbin,
Jamie Moyer - 7
13
TigersHoward Ehmke (1922) - 23Armando Galarraga,
Justin Verlander - 3
6
IndiansOtto Hess (1906) - 24Carl Pavano,
Cliff Lee,
Fausto Carmona - 3
6
CardinalsWillie Sudhoff (1898) - 27Brad Thompson - 59
BravesVic Willis (1898, 1899) - 30Kenshin Kawakami,
Mike Gonzalez - 5
9
GiantsEd Doheny (1899) - 37Barry Zito - 713
RedsWill White (1884) - 35Bronson Arroyo,
Edinson Volquez,
Micah Owings,
Johnny Cueto - 5
9
A'sChick Fraser (1901) - 32Edgar Gonzalez,
Brett Anderson,
Trevor Cahill - 3
6
DodgersJoe McGinnity (1900) - 41Chad Billingsley - 611

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1 Comments:

At July 14, 2009 9:32 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'd just like to thank you for kepping this up even though you don't have anyone comenting. I was an avid fan of Biggio and you, and I thank you for continuing the tradition

 

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