Thursday, May 21, 2009

Players who really should have been plunked by now

As a change of pace, here the top ten player who have NOT been hit by a pitch this season, listed by how many times they should have been plunked based on their 2009 plate appearances, and their career HBP rate prior to this season:

Player2009 PAPrior PA per HBPExpected '09 HBPCareer HBP
Grady Sizemore(CLE)18858.73.253
A.J. Pierzynski(CWS)11849.02.485
Adam Dunn(WSH)17681.92.158
Marlon Byrd(TEX)13665.82.136
Corey Hart(MIL)17185.72.018
Melvin Mora(BAL)9850.71.9102
Michael Cuddyer(MIN)17091.21.929
Mike Cameron(MIL)15885.11.980
Brandon Phillips(CIN)15787.41.827
Kenji Johjima(SEA)7945.81.732


Grady Sizemore came into this season getting hit by a pitch about once every 59 plate appearances, and now he's 188 PAs into 2009 without getting plunked at all. He should have been plunked at around 3 times now - and maybe that's why he's got a .208 batting average. In games when he gets hit by a pitch, he bats .291. Not everyone on the list is letting their HBP slump cause a batting slump too, but you'd think they'd want to get going, and let their offense utilize all it's weapons, including getting hit by pitches.

However, we shouldn't panic on these guys and dump them from your HBP-only fantasy leagues just yet (if such a thing existed). There's still time to turn their HBP seasons around. For example, Don Baylor got hit 30 times in the 1986 season, AFTER May 20th.

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